Investors and policymakers alike use leading indicators to help predict trends in the economy. What Is a Leading Indicator? What Is It Supposed to Predict? What Are Some of the Most Important Leading ...
Buy low and sell high. That sounds easy, right? The problem is defining what exactly "low" means. How do you define whether the stock market is cheap or expensive? Precisely valuing the market is ...
The Buffett Indicator is the ratio of the market cap of the entire U.S. stock market to the country’s GDP. In late 2001, toward the end of the collapse of the tech bubble, famed value investor Warren ...
Looking at a stock chart is a great way to gain instant visual insight into the performance and momentum of a stock market index like the S&P 500. Yet, even broad-market visualizations need context.
We discuss several key indicators, including the Sahm Rule, the inverted yield curve, and the "Warren Buffett Cash Hoarding" indicator, all pointing toward increasing recession risks in the U.S.
In the world of Bitcoin investing, understanding market cycles is key to identifying buying opportunities and spotting potential price peaks. One indicator that has stood the test of time in this ...
The Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator uses only unemployment data. The indicator has a perfect track record at calling U.S. recessions since 1960, with no false positives. There is one key ...
Lagging indicators are widely used to measure business, economic, and financial market trends. Lagging indicators measure events that have already happened. Lagging indicators lack predictive power ...
A market valuation metric popularized by Warren Buffett is at an all-time high of roughly 208%. Buffett has said that anytime this indicator approaches 200%, investors are "playing with fire." History ...