We modeled six scenarios for the presidential race. It's early, but it looks like the 2024 election is going to be close. ABC News Illustration by Katrina Stapleton, Brandon Bell & Pool/Getty Images ...
Dive into the weeds of our new Harris-Trump model. For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast model. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the forecast, ...
It’s 4am on election night and things are not looking good for Kamala Harris. Donald Trump has already won the key swing states of Georgia and Wisconsin and is well on his way to seizing Pennsylvania, ...
Casting mailed ballots remained popular among voters in last year's presidential election, even as President Donald Trump has tried to undercut the process through a wide-ranging executive order. A ...
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